In the first few weeks of agentic trading on Robinhood, over 50,000 customers have opened agentic trading accounts and are trading millions of dollars per day of equities and options.
Writing and executing sophisticated strategies or optimizing your everyday spending no longer depends on your technical background, but on the quality of your ideas.
I have said it before and will say it again- AI has not topped.
Dips will come
Dips will be bought
You job is to buy 15-20% corrections on leading stocks.
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I made millions of $’s trading in the NQ pit at CME, after divorce in 03, remarried in 05, huge changes in floor trading I was slow to react to, 2008 my Mom died in June, my sister died in Nov & my mother-in-law in March plus failure of my prop group I owned, real estate investments gone, investments gone, I went back on the floor in the Hog pit to rebuild. MF Global failed in 2011 & I failed with it. I began to chase the large amount of money MFG took, I was swinging 6 figures a day till I had nothing left—totally broke. I was married with 5 kids. We sold our house, moved into my dad’s home—like Job, I sat on my pile of dung feeling terribly sorry for myself. I saw no way out or no way back.
However, I had the love of a good woman who saw what I couldn’t, a semblance of faith in a God who loved me. I smoked too much, drank too much, and was terribly depressed. I had a choice. Give up, or put one foot in front of the other in love and faith. 10+ years later, I am a better trader than ever, a better father and husband, I am in better shape at 55 than ever. My kids are all happy and healthy. My wife and I couldn’t be more in love. I now know the difference between being rich and being wealthy. If you are struggling, DO NOT give up. Keep moving forward……. It gets better. God bless you all. Pray for Peace.
A lot of major drawdowns do not V bottom, as if to say the rubberband has broken.
The dynamic then shifts towards exhausting prior long-term longs, which had been able to hold through the volatile yet short-duration moves lower.
When the bottom range keeps stuffing attempts at moves higher, not breaking down but merely pulling back 50-70% of the range multiple times, it slowly induces shorts and exhaust longs to such a high degree degree, already battered by the move prior decline, that it turns them into pessimist and even in some cases shorts.
By the time the rise begins, its infancy starts from the lows, from anticipation by shorts of a breakdown and by longs feeling like its broken and not worth it anymore.
We saw this on the Nasdaq in 2022, in China in 2024, Healthcare over the past year... These are extremely hard to manage emotionally.
$SPCX is reportedly preparing a bond sale of at least $20B marking its first investment-grade U.S. dollar bond issuance.
Proceeds would refinance a $20B bridge loan maturing in 2027.
President Trump says $NVDA agreed to build chips with $INTC while $SPCX TerraFab will be built with Intel’s technology team.
He called TerraFab “the largest chip factory in the world.”
Yesterday, Elon Musk exercised 304 million @Tesla stock options from his 2018 compensation package, according to a new SEC filing.
Tesla withheld 17.53 million shares at an average price of $404.66/share in connection with net share settlement. The transaction did not involve any open-market sales of stock.
To be clear, this was not a net sale of Tesla stock. Elon's overall Tesla stock holdings increased.
Elon now owns roughly 19.9% of Tesla.
Filing: sec.gov/Archives/edgar…
I do not see today’s Fed meeting as hawkish.
A few things stood out from the Fed meeting, despite the hawkish dot plot.
Warsh was selected to try to cut rates and be dovish. Given where yields are, starting out fully dovish and potentially exacerbating inflation prints through a de-anchoring of expectations would not have been the best course of action.
The Fed still has a mandate to keep inflation near 2%, but it will be 'revisiting how inflation is assessed'.
-> Truflation has inflation at ~1.57% YoY.
-The Fed does not compute CPI, that is the BLS, and Warsh explicitly walled off the 2% target from review: "I see no reason... to revisit that... outside the scope." He repeatedly called official inflation "an echo of history."
Furthermore, official headline CPI was 4.2% in May, the highest since 2023, but energy accounted for over 60% of the monthly gain, with gasoline up 40.5% on the Iran shock. Core ran at 2.9%. Strip out the oil shock Warsh just told you he will look through, and you are at ~1.6–2.9%.
-The composition of the dot plot was not fully hawkish. Of the 18 who submitted, ~9 saw rates higher and ~9 saw them at this level or lower. Warsh was the abstaining 19th.
-> Even the median path is roughly one hike, then easing: 3.8% YE26 → 3.6% YE27.
-Only one proposal was on the table: hold. A hike was never seriously discussed, with "no discussion of any other proposals." He dodged every "why didn't you tighten" question from the WSJ, FT, and Fox with curt non-answers.
-"I don't believe we have a cruel choice." He explicitly rejects the inflation-vs-jobs tradeoff and believes he can get to 2% without breaking the labor market. That is a chair who is not hunting for a reason to over-tighten.
-"strong productivity-led growth is not something we fear, but something we embrace," and he reaffirmed to CNBC that productivity is a reason rates can come down. AI as a positive supply shock = structurally disinflationary = room to cut even with an ugly headline.
-He also pre-framed the current print as a supply shock he will not react to: oil "does not have first-order consequences," and the Fed only cares about second-round effects.
The only real hawkish substance was the relentless "inflation is a choice / we will deliver price stability" language, plus his claim that policy is not very restrictive outside housing. That does imply room to hold tight, or even hike.
But he refused every chance to convert that into an actual signal. So I read it as credibility-positioning, not a tightening bias.
The comment around the 2y yield and not caring about todays or even a few days of adverse reaction was what triggered the selloff post ramp. Powell would have tried and calmed markets but the change in tone and approach to try and be hands off threw the market in a tantrum for what I otherwise see as a great approach and first meeting.
Open to feeback.
$SPCX - First gap filled, the lower one will get filled. Not only that you'll be able to buy below IPO price. No serious investor should ever be pushing to buy this above $200. Most of the accounts pushing it have casino sponsors so that should tell you what kind of trade it is.
Congratulations to the 855,424 Robinhood customers who requested shares in the $SPCX IPO — you're now $SPCX owners. This was the largest IPO ever, and the largest for IPO Access.
When we launched IPO Access 5 years ago, we hoped it would open the door for more everyday investors to participate in moments like this, and it's been incredible to watch the vision become a reality.
Thank you for being part of it.
President Trump said the stock market kept ripping every time peace was discussed and joked that the market is “more brilliant than anybody” except him.
He then asked Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent if the market was smarter than him and Bessent replied “No, sir.”
One hard truth about IPOs nobody wants to hear:
"It's going without me, I gotta get in NOW."
That's the sentence that traps you for years.
Right now through November: wild moves UP. Low float, FOMO, scarcity premium. People will chase it
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