Ryan Hogue @_1RyansMethod
Lets make some money skool.com/mstr MSTR, Bitcoin Trade Alerts → Joined February 2012-
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$ASST (Strive) Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/27 → 7/31 1σ Base Range: ±1.35 • 📈 Upside: $12.84 • 📉 Downside: $10.14 2σ Range: • 📈 $14.19 • 📉 $8.79 3σ Range: • 📈 $15.54 • 📉 $7.44
$MSTR Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/27 → 7/31 1σ Base Range: ±9.46 • 📈 Upside: $101.13 • 📉 Downside: $82.21 2σ Range: • 📈 $110.59 • 📉 $72.75 3σ Range: • 📈 $120.05 • 📉 $63.29
Will the support line connecting the 2021 and 2024 tops hold in 2026? 👀 $MSTR
$ASST Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/20 → 7/24 Base Range: ±1.46 • 📈 Upside: $13.32 • 📉 Downside: $10.4 2σ Range: • 📈 $14.78 • 📉 $8.94 3σ Range: • 📈 $16.24 • 📉 $7.48
$MSTR Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/20 → 7/24 Base Range: ±10.32 • 📈 Upside: $105.17 • 📉 Downside: $84.53 2σ Range: • 📈 $115.49 • 📉 $74.21 3σ Range: • 📈 $125.81 • 📉 $63.89
History says expansion comes next. You fading it? $MSTR bitcoin:native
The $MSTR Buy Signal Everyone Gave Up On Just Fired
$MSTR spent the last 5 months carving out a massive falling wedge. I think it's ready to resolve higher. With July OPEX approaching, I believe we could see a breakout as early as next week. If this pattern confirms, the move could be violent.
$MSTR Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/13 → 7/17 Base Range: ±10.42 • 📈 Upside: $105.06 • 📉 Downside: $84.22 2σ Range: • 📈 $115.48 • 📉 $73.8 3σ Range: • 📈 $125.9 • 📉 $63.38
My prediction: $MSTR closes July at the 0.382 Fibonacci level... Around $127.
$MSTR has finally caught up to Bitcoin. Both are backtesting the top of multi-year reaccumulation ranges with bullish RSI divergences developing. Sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish. I think this will be remembered as one of the best buying opportunities of the cycle.
$MSTR Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/6 → 7/10 Base Range: ±12.02 • 📈 Upside: $112.79 • 📉 Downside: $88.75 2σ Range: • 📈 $124.81 • 📉 $76.73 3σ Range: • 📈 $136.83 • 📉 $64.71
The Most Important Candle of 2026 for $MSTR Just Closed
$MSTR July Monthly Expected Move (Options IV) 7/1 → 7/31 Base Range: ±20.33 • 📈 Upside: $107.26 • 📉 Downside: $66.60 2σ Range: • 📈 $127.59 • 📉 $46.27 3σ Range: • 📈 $147.92 • 📉 $25.94
Everyone is focused on the recent $MSTR selloff. I'm focused on a chart that started in 1999. Since becoming a Bitcoin treasury company: • 2021 top → 🎯0.382 Fib • 2024 Q1 top → 🎯0.618 Fib • 2024 Q4 top → 🎯1.618 Fib If this pattern continues... MSTR may have just put in its 2026 low at the 🎯0.236 Fib.
What do these bitcoin:native prices have in common? • $2 — November 2011 • $1,150 — November 2013 • $19,500 — December 2017 • $58,300 — July 2026 They're all touching the exact same long-term trendline at major market inflection points, with sentiment and momentum at extremes. Coincidence?
$MSTR Weekly Expected Move (Options IV) 6/29 → 7/3 Base Range: ±11.14 • 📈 Upside: $93.0 • 📉 Downside: $71.62 2σ Range: • 📈 $103.69 • 📉 $60.93 3σ Range: • 📈 $114.38 • 📉 $50.24
These charts from @AlemzadehC are IMPORTANT as we head into what I believe is the most important week of the year for Bitcoin & MSTR. Nasdaq, SOXX, and GOOG all closed below key support... just before a violent reversal. I'm expecting a similar move. My base case is that the bottom is put in on Tuesday, June 30, as the monthly, quarterly, and first-half candles all close. The setup looks eerily similar to Bitcoin at $60,000 and MSTR at $104 back in February... Who remembers what happened in the very next trading session? 📈
P.S. Every chart above waited for the start of a new quarterly candle before reversing from the lows.
Price is making lower lows. RSI isn't. bitcoin:native is now showing bullish divergence on both the Daily and Weekly charts.
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