Finn Stockinger @FinStockinger
Seeking asymmetric edges in quality growth & tech. Thoughts on markets, compounding, and rational investing amid noise. NFA👇 Follow for clarity, not hype. app.slice-app.io/p/traders/BGte Join me on Slice Joined January 2021-
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I really think $GRRR has 5x potential over the next two years, and it could easily double this year once the market picks up. This is just my take, obviously. I’ve gone through their current signed contracts, and for 2027, you’re looking at 100M from their core business plus 400M in recurring revenue. By 2028, they’ll have plenty of spare capacity to burn through, which could easily push their top line past the 1B mark. Of course, execution risk is still a factor, but a lot is slated to happen this year. I’ll be dropping a detailed, fact-based breakdown soon. Stay tuned.
$PENG What a pick! I'm 150% since my entry ($30) from end of April. I’ve spent countless hours writing dozen posts and articles about this company, digging deep into the fundamentals and building my thesis. I hope there’s at least one person here who believed in the story, followed along, and is celebrating this moment with me today. That’s when sharing my research here really feels meaningful. 🐧🐧🐧
Penguin Solutions ($PENG) is moving into the “production phase” of AI. Yesterday’s results weren't just record-breaking (Revenue +48% YoY, EPS +79% YoY). They proved that the company is becoming the backbone of Agentic AI. Key takeaways from the earnings call: 🔹 PMA is key: The team is pushing hard on their Photonic Memory Appliance (PMA) with Celestial AI - a massive long-term bet on the future of data center memory. 🔹 Conservatism = Opportunity: Management is playing it safe, yet they’re still guiding for ~30% growth in 2027. Any major contract win is pure upside. 🔹 Inventory as a Moat: Stockpiling nearly $500M in inventory isn't a mistake—it’s a strategic hedge to guarantee supply while others scramble. I just published a full deep dive analyzing the earnings call - breaking down their valuation, their inventory strategy, and why the market might be underestimating their platform potential. Read the full analysis on my Substack (link in comments). Let me know what you think!
$PENG (Penguin Solutions) reports blockbuster Q3 FY26 results driven by massive AI demand! • Net Sales: $479M (+48% YoY) • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.84 (+79% YoY) • GAAP Operating Income: $51M (+417% YoY) The company has raised its full-year outlook for both sales and EPS. I told you 🐧🐧🐧
Found a pro tip to make your portfolio chart go up. Just turn on mirror mode. You didn’t ask for it, but you got it. You’re welcome. One click, and somehow it’s already much nicer to look at. *This post is intended as a joke and should not be taken seriously.
Patience is one of the hardest skills to master in investing. The stock market is a massive manipulation of your emotions. The best defense you have is to stay calm and patient. First, everything pumps. FOMO kicks in, you chase trade after trade, and emotions hit the ceiling. Then, the inevitable pullback happens. The hype cools down, and you feel uneasy watching another red day on your screen. This is completely NORMAL. Core rules to survive and thrive: > Don't chase popular names or hype. > Pick companies you can build long-term conviction in. > If your thesis hasn't changed, simply wait. Waiting is simple, but it is everything. Don't get sucked into their game. Set your rules and stick to them. Finn
I like being on X, but… Having to block bots and scammers every single day is exhausting. Anyone who has dealt with this knows that amazing feeling of realizing you just wasted your time. Please @nikitabier do something about this someday 🙏
$PENG before earnings I was one of the first people to introduce this company to a broader audience on X. Personally, I’m already up more than 100% on the stock. About two months ago, I published an article and a series of posts, bringing together all the research and knowledge I had to share it with you ahead of earnings. Enjoy the read! (link to Substack in the comment)
Read for free and subscribe: finnstockinger.substack.com/p/before-earni…
Had a random thought today, but it’s been bugging me so I figured I’d share. My feed is just a non-stop loop of the exact same tickers: $IREN, $NBIS, $ONDS, $AAOI, $ASTS, $KRKNF, $RKLB, $SIVE, etc. It made me wonder - are we all trapped in a giant echo chamber revolving around the same 20 or so stocks? Is there an alternate "bubble" out there trading completely different companies? Because clearly, someone is buying the rest of the market, we just literally never talk about them lol. What do you think? Which bubble are you guys currently sitting in?
How can a $500M company like Gorilla Technology ($GRRR) build multi-billion dollar AI projects in India and Indonesia? Simple answer: They are not using their own money. They shifted to a business model called "Asset-Light" through a new branch called Gorilla Capital. Here is exactly how it works based on the facts: They use Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs). Gorilla is not buying land or servers on their main balance sheet. Gorilla Capital sets up separate companies for the Indonesia contract (NeutraDC Batam) and India (Yotta Data Services). They use "GPU-backed financing." This means big funds and banks lend the money, and the physical microchips (like NVIDIA Blackwell B300) are used as collateral for the loans. Gorilla acts as an integrator, not a manufacturer. For the $2.8B India deal and $2.5B Indonesia deal, Gorilla just sets up the tech. Most of the upfront cash goes right back to suppliers like Supermicro and to pay off debts - like the $107M convertible notes they issued in June for down payments. Where is the real profit? The revenue hits the books month by month once the servers go live. For Phase 1 in Indonesia, that means around $21.6M per month in revenue. Gorilla only makes big profit later by selling their own AI software subscriptions to manage these clouds, which has high margins (60-70%). My view: The plan makes sense on paper. They even raised Q2 2026 revenue guidance to at least $44M. This structure stops the main company from going bankrupt, but it creates a massive web of debt. It only works if foreign clients pay on time and if management stops diluting shareholders as they promised. Lately, analysts have raised their price targets to $40. In my opinion, this is very realistic for this year, and I am investing based on a similar thesis. What do you think about $GRRR?
I encourage you to read my article on $GRRR. The company is expanding into GPUaaS and AI Data Centers, while already securing real contracts and building a growing pipeline. They raised full-year guidance, but still describe it as conservative - meaning there could be upside if execution goes well. The CEO has clearly outlined a path to ~$500M in revenue by 2027 (for context: current market cap is also around $500M). One strong point from the latest call: they addressed tough questions directly, without dodging or relying on marketing language. On dilution: they explicitly stated they do not plan to dilute shareholders. Instead, they aim to use bank financing and project-level SPVs, bringing in private and institutional investors. I am convinced to this company. I'm 🦍. Curious to hear how others see it. My full free article is on Substack: open.substack.com/pub/finnstocki…
The July 4th Market Myth: What the Data Says About Pre-Holiday Selloffs Retail traders often warn that stocks drop before long weekends because investors want to de-risk. With markets closed this Friday, July 3rd, today is the final session before the break. However, historical data since 1950 shows Wall Street doesn't panic before Independence Day - it usually rallies. The Numbers: The Independence Day Bias The stock market exhibits a well-documented Holiday Effect around early July, driven by institutional portfolio rebalancing at the start of Q3. > Double the Return: In the 10-day window surrounding July 4th, the S&P 500 averages a 0.088% daily return - more than double the standard daily average of 0.036%. > 60% Win Rate: The market finishes in the green on the day immediately preceding July 4th over 60% of the time. > July Seasonality: Over the past 35 years, July averages a +1.4% gain for the S&P 500 and +2.1% for the Nasdaq 100. Why Dips Happen: Mechanics, Not Panic When a pre-holiday drop does occur, it is driven by structure, not fear: > Low Liquidity: Institutional traders leave early, causing volume to dry up. In a thin market, small sell orders move prices down easily, creating artificial volatility. > Routine De-risking: To avoid "gap risk" (major news breaking while markets are closed), managers often trim 1% to 2% of winning positions to lock in gains. Summary: Panic-selling to avoid weekend risk runs counter to decades of empirical data. The smartest move is to close the laptop and enjoy the free time. P.S. Happy 4th of July to all our American readers! As for the rest of us... we still have one more day of work left until Friday evening. But we can do it!
I noticed that X is interested in ams Osram $AMS.SW / $AMSSY today, so I’m sharing my old post about the company. I held it in my portfolio for a short time, made around 40%, and then exited the position. I may come back to it one day, but for now things are moving a bit too fast for me. I don’t want to be standing in the wrong place. To be in the right one, I need more information. I don’t have that information today, but maybe someone will find my earlier post useful.
The wait is over. The company is Gorilla Technology Group $GRRR . 🦍🦍🦍 is your new favourite icon. We are Gorillas now. The market still prices Gorilla like a niche, legacy software vendor, totally ignoring that they have vertically integrated into a high-margin Sovereign AI infrastructure beast. The asymmetry here is ridiculous: > Multi-billion dollar signed contracts (including the massive $2.5B GPUaaS deal in Indonesia) > A clear path to a $500M annual revenue run-rate by late 2027 (matching its current market cap) > Already operating cash flow positive (+$6.6M in Q1) with nearly $100M in cash >A tight capital structure of just 31.8M fully diluted shares Trading around $20.15, the math does the talking. Full deep-dive article is dropping in my free Substack (link in comment). 🦍🚀 #NFA #DYOR
Link to article: substack.com/@thestockinger…
I think after many days of searching I’ve found another company with +100% upside potential. I’m currently writing an article about it. It’s a company that could, next year can make revenue x5, which will be equal to its current market cap. It’s not a robotics company. I’ll publish it within the next 12 hours. PS. Every like make me writing much faster haha Stay tuned and put notification on. Do you know what company I meaning? or maybe you have your own proposition?
Humanoid robots are just another textbook example of how hype and a bull market work. Everything rises sector-wide, with zero reflection.
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