Thomas Edsall @Edsall67
NYT Political Columnist. Former Washington Post and Huffington Post political reporter. Professor Columbia J-School, Poker player. Washington-New York Joined July 2024-
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Savings rate record low; Credit card debt record high
What is it analysts and the FED do not see? Unemployment Rate moves up. FED tries to ensure "Soft Landing" by cutting Fed Fund Rate. Around the first Rate Cut, SP500 (and equities) top and the Bear Market begins. RECESSION IS COMING! And due to FED being very, very late the Deflationary impulse will be extra strong. BUT...... first #BlowOffTop 🚀
S&P500 Update 🚨 CAUTION 🚨 Witness the stark contrast: 2008 and 2024, side by side, unfiltered. Brace yourselves. The market's next temper tantrum shall be upon us shortly. 2008 was just the appetizer. The main course is coming in 2025. P.S Dessert yet to be decided. Don't be alarmed it gets much worse.
This is the WORST policy mistake since 1929 Something is bound to break
This is exactly how the crash of 2008 Financial Crisis happened 👇
This is the most concentrated market in the past 40+ years Just the top 5 companies now make up 28% of the S&P 500 Let that sink in
In such a market environment, stock selection is essential Our strict and selective Trading approach has brought significant profits to our clients in 2024 View our track record for FREE at: bit.ly/GameofTrades
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This is worsened by more than $1 trillion in credit card debt And credit card interest rates hitting 21.51% At this rate, something is bound to break
High rates + rising costs are putting a lot of pressure on the consumer The market uptrend remains intact for now But, we’ll be booking profits and rotating capital when the bullish structure breaks
Sharp rises in the unemployment rate have coincided with aggressive market declines Once the labor market cracks, it’s game over
For now, the job market is holding up and stocks still look bullish Therefore, we’re still holding our long positions Find all our 17 positions (long and short) across 5 different asset classes at: bit.ly/GameofTrades
ALERT: Buying conditions in the US housing market has collapsed Now reaching levels only seen 2 times since 1960: - 1974 - 1981 Both of them ended in a recession
The housing market is a key leading indicator of the business cycle Which tends to react very quickly to interest rate changes So, high rates have been a major headwind for this market
We use quantitative analysis to gain insights from such economic indicators And evaluate the business cycle to position accordingly Unleash the power of numbers at Game of Trades And get access to 17 attractive Trade setups immediately at: bit.ly/GameofTrades
Another day, another record: Home price relative to income has hit the highest level. EVER. This is exactly what unaffordable housing looks like
ALERT: Savings are now contracting This is getting worse by the day for US consumers A thread 🧵
8/ We've closed 64 trades in 2024 With some exceeding 30-60% gains And almost all losing trades under 5% Get all our real-time Trade Alerts at: bit.ly/GameofTrades
9/ Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed this thread, please ❤️ and 🔁 the first tweet below And follow @gameoftrades_ for more market insights, finance and investment strategies x.com/GameofTrades_/…
ALERT: Savings are now contracting This is getting worse by the day for US consumers A thread 🧵
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