CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiastyoutube.com/@michaelvdpoppe Amsterdam, The NetherlandsJoined November 2019
Gold bounces upwards after taking the liquidity beneath the wick.
Classic price action.
I think that we'll slowly see the volatility wind down in Gold as it has established a range.
Upper side of the range is $5,000-5,100. The lower end of the range is $4,000-4,200.
In between: heaven for daytraders.
$BTC remains stuck in the range as AI hype starts to accelerate within #Crypto.
That's not bad. I think we'll still be looking for a higher test, but to do that, the markets should sustain by making higher lows and higher highs.
If that happens, then $80K doesn't seem far-fetched.
What an absolutely wonderful morning with the strength of $TAO.
Again; it's in a new bull run, higher lows, higher highs.
This means: buy the dip and let it ride.
Next area of resistance: $500.
Happy to see that we're getting a slight bounce on $BTC.
Still stuck in this range, and the longer it stays in this range, the heavier the breakout will be.
I'd prefer to see these lows to be swept, as then the liquidity will be taken and there's enough strength to reverse upwards.
There we go!
$TAO breaks upwards and hits $330+.
Again, it's quite clear that it's time for AI <> #Crypto.
Happy to sustain 75% in the position and I think it's buy the dip season.
Next area of potential resistance; $450-500.
I sat down with @TheMktSniper, a technical trader who called gold's move from 2000 to 3500, and warned about the coming debt crisis before Druckenmiller and Tudor Jones positioned for it.
His warning: the biggest bank crash in history is ahead of us.
"Right now is not a good time to buy property. You're about to experience the single biggest bank crash, debt crash, and the withdrawal of consumer credit."
Very pleased to have Francis on @new_era_finance.
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Trading Volatility: How to Position Before the Move
05:41 Gold's Breakout: The Technical Setup Nobody Saw
16:58 Geopolitics as Theater: The Engineered Inflation Thesis
22:47 The Netherlands' 36% Unrealized Gains Tax
31:33 Why Interest Rates Are Going Higher, Not Lower
39:30 "Leave the West While You Still Can"
41:05 The Coming Bank Crash and Property Collapse
46:09 Tokenization, Digital Money and the Surveillance Grid
50:07 Bitcoin vs Gold: Why the Smart Money Disagrees
01:00:49 Crypto Tokens That Could Survive the Reset
01:06:25 "Slowly at First, Then Suddenly" The Hemingway Warning
It's funny.
#Bitcoin has ran upwards massively against Gold.
It's a monthly engulfing candle on the BTC vs. Gold ratio.
But still, it's so far down in terms of valuations, that it's still a stretch to the mean and fair price.
I would think it's around $90-95K at current valuations.
That's how irrational #Bitcoin is valued against Gold currently and that's how cheap Bitcoin is.
Credits to @jv_finance for the chart.
A massive monthly bullish engulfing candle on the valuation of #Bitcoin vs. Gold.
Every time this happens, the low is in.
I wouldn't be surprised this time will be the same.
The fact that $GRASS wakes up, AI is taking momentum.
I would honestly expect to see more momentum from #DePIN, as the core angle for AI <> Crypto is actually DePIN.
One of our positions within the venture is $PEAQ.
Hasn't been performing well in terms of price, has been performing great in terms of growth and adoption.
In that way, happy to see the momentum starting to pick up and I think there's a ton of upside still to come.
#Bitcoin constantly prints higher lows since the crash early in February.
It's a great sign and it shows that we're about to witness more strength.
It doesn't say that we're out of the woods entirely, as those higher lows trigger a lot of liquidity if the markets get there.
However, overall, as long as we hold these levels, I think that we're able to reach $77-80K.
A fascinating move of $TAO.
It's just getting started and it's clearly making a new high here.
What does that tell?
We're in a bull trend for Bittensor and there's only one strategy: buy the dip on the ones that are coming.
I don't see why this doesn't run to $500+ in the coming period, and happily having this as one of my anchors of my #Altcoin portfolio.
In all honesty, I don't think there's been a time with the fear & greed index being this low for so long on #Bitcoin and #Crypto.
I've also not experienced the negative to be this bad and social media to be such a ghost town.
I don't think we'll see Silver go substantially lower from here.
It's quite clear that there's the range.
In between $65-90 I'd expect volatility to slow down.
Given that there's been so much upside in these assets, the money is likely rotating towards #Crypto.
A fascinating chart.
What if we have already finished the bear market and are currently consolidating?
#Bitcoin vs. Gold is my prime chart.
If you look at those valuations, you can clearly see that the current bear market has experienced a 70% drawdown.
In any bear market, bottoms are found after a 70-85% correction.
On top of that, we're already in a bear market for 13-14 months, and historically, that's when $BTC has bottomed out vs. Gold.
This time won't be different.
I'm very proud of our recent progress in trading, as we've been scaling up significantly.
Even in substantial corrections, the trading continued.
We're ready to scale the fund, so if you're interested in a quant strategy in #Crypto, make sure to reach out to mnfund.nl.
Outperforming #Bitcoin by 50% since July 1st of 2025 (our inception).
Our core pillar has become automated volatility trading.
In recent months, we've seen accelerated growth in executing those trades, and we are ready to scale our operations further.
Automated volatility trading, what leverage does that bring to trading #Crypto?
In our
#Bitcoin is in the historic bottom zone.
That means that, historically, it's a great level to accumulate your positions on.
Read more at our friends @Cryptofocus_NL website (in Dutch) here:
cryptofocus.nl/nieuws/bitcoin…
Great bounce on the markets, but all is event-driven.
If this holds and #Bitcoin sustains above $69K (as noted earlier), we're making a higher low and continuing the lower-timeframe uptrend.
In that sense, we can still have a test at $74-75K this month.
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