Global Financial Insights @globfininsights
A resource that provides users with actionable insights and analysis on the latest financial news and trends. Website coming soon. Joined October 2021-
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The seasonally adjusted Judo Bank Australia SME Business Activity index posted 53.2 in March, unchanged from February. #ausecon #auspol @CommSec
📌 Read the Daily Blog on the Website 👉 isabelnet.com/blog/
SAMSUNG ELEC IN TALKS WITH MATERIAL MANUFACTURERS, INCLUDING JAPAN'S NAGASE, FOR SUPPLY OF 'MUF' CHIP MAKING MATERIALS, SOURCE SAYS
TIKTOK BILL HAS ‘A REAL CHANCE OF BECOMING LAW’ (The Daily Signal) The House of Representatives is expected to vote Wednesday on bipartisan legislation relating to the Chinese-owned app TikTok. Reps. Mike Gallagher, R-Wis., and Raja Krishnamoorthi, D-Ill., introduced the…
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Tuesday urged the US Federal Reserve to wait past June before cutting interest rates, arguing the central bank needs to shore up its inflation-fighting credibility.
JPMORGAN CEO: IF RATES DONT GO UP AND THERE'S NO RECESSION MOST US BANKS WILL MUDDLE THROUGH ISSUES
JPMorgan CEO: If Rates Don’t Go Up And There's No Recession, Most US Banks Will Muddle Through Issues
Disinflation? What disinflation? Graph via JP Morgan
🔴 AUSTRALIA'S FIRST ESTIMATED BUDGET FOR 2024/25 IS A$145.6 BILLION, ACCORDING TO ABS.
Indonesian thermal coal exports scale new highs in early 2024 - column by @GavinJMaguire reuters.com/markets/commod…
Just published a blog post about one of the oldest HFT alphas that is still used nowadays! Check out the link in my bio
USA is still a low tax country relative to OECD for now...
11 studies, 1 conclusion: The U.S. housing market is underbuilt @MalasMeghan's first deep dive for @ResidentialClub is a must read 🏡📊 resiclubanalytics.com/p/11-studies-1…
📌 Read the Daily Blog on the Website 👉 isabelnet.com/blog/
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA BOARD MINUTES: CONSIDERED CASE FOR RAISING RATES OR HOLDING STEADY
RBA: SURGE IN DOMESTIC POPULATION GROWTH MADE IT HARDER TO JUDGE RESILIENCE OF ECONOMY
RBA: BOARD NOTED CASH RATE REMAINED BELOW THAT IN MANY OTHER COUNTRIES
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Most of the sell-side banks and other Fed tipsheets have a baseline forecast where inflation slows in a way that the FOMC is done raising rates. Current snapshot:
🇺🇸 As expected, Fed hikes another 25bp (unanimously), FOMC statement is almost unchanged compared to last meeting
The ifo cycle clock indicator shows that the survey participants’ perceptions are that, on average, economic activity remains in a crisis mode at this point, deteriorating versus previous months
And there it is, very weak nominal retail sales in June, particularly weak across durable retail, department stores back sharply. This is related to discounting activity as well as weaker volumes but add to the pause case for the #RBA nonetheless
@ABSStats NSW and Victoria felling the pinch
Spending at department stores fell by 5% in June, followed by "other" retailing (-2.2%) and clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (-2.2%). Food retailing rose by 0.1%. #ausecon #auspol @CommSec
$5.4BLN INFLOW TO BONDS, $1.0BLN OUTFLOW FROM GOLD, $5.0BLN OUTFLOW FROM EQUITIES, $13.9BLN OUTFLOW FROM CASH IN THE WEEK TO WEDNESDAY - BOFA CITING EPFR DATA.
US commercial bank lending decreased by $40.6 billion this week — the second-biggest drop since the Great Financial Crisis. Soft landing, eh? Godspeed 🫡
CHINA HOLDS URGENT MEETINGS ON ECONOMY WITH BUSINESS LEADERS; ECONOMISTS, FOREIGN EXECUTIVES ASKED FOR WAYS TO GROW ECONOMY
. @TruthGundlach talking now, indirectly, through the #HOPE cycle on @CNBC. Leading indicators lead data that everyone is focused on today (EPS, Jobs, Inflation) with a long and variable lag. The market didn’t think rates/inflation would rise in 2022, and today, the market…
According to @seekjobs Australian job ad volumes decreased by 0.6% month-on-month in May 2023 and are 22% lower compared to May 2022, which was at the height of the "Great Job Boom." @CommSec #ausecon #auspol #Australia
BREAKING: 🇪🇬 Egypt officially applies to join the BRICS
🔵 Strikes at Chinese factories have surged to a seven-year high and are expected to become more frequent as weak global demand forces exporters to cut workers' pay and shut down plants, one rights group and economists say. Full Story → PiQSuite.com/reuters/tumbli…
UK PM Sunak Scraps Plan For Supermarket Price Cap After Backlash - @Telegraph telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/…
S&P: Brazil Outlook Revised To Positive On Expectations For Policy Pragmatism; 'BB-/B' Ratings Affirmed disclosure.spglobal.com/ratings/en/reg…
"Typically when you pause, you never go back and hike again. It just doesn’t happen. He’s trying to buy time to keep shrinking that balance sheet." #FOMC #FBN hubs.ly/Q01TznPr0
#Fed holds at 5-5.25% (allowing “time…to assess additional info”) but it’s hawkish w dot plot adding in +0.5% of hikes GDP & core PCE forecasts revised up slightly for this yr +0.25% looks likely in July, but likely to be the peak as infl slow faster than Fed assumes (Fed table)
Trends for United States
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